|Women Have Paid the Price for Trump’s
A woman and child listen as someone speaks at a rally in
Portland, Oregon, on September 6, 2020.
By Osub Ahmed, Shilpa Phadke, and Diana Boesch
From the first day of Donald Trump’s presidency, his administration has used
every tool in its arsenal to chip away at women’s health, employment, economic
security, and rights overall. One of the administration’s most effective, and at
times less noticed, tools to crafting this harmful agenda against women has been
to use the standard agency rule-making process as a political weapon. Frequently
ignoring relevant data and research, the Trump administration has used the rule-
making process to issue guidance, interpret public policy, and implement statutes
in ways that are fundamentally harmful to women, often pushing beyond the limits
of its legal authority while consistently underestimating the financial costs and
dismissing the human impact of its rules.
The administration’s harmful regulatory agenda is part of a larger and
unfortunately all-too-familiar agenda to strip women of their fundamental rights to
control their own bodies and economic futures, while catering to social and
religious conservatives and big-business interests. These efforts often have reflected a narrow worldview—rooted in racism and misogyny—that treats
women, and specifically women of color, as objects to be controlled rather than full participants in a society that still has work to do to become more
inclusive, fairer, and responsive to women’s needs. Women’s real-world experiences—as caregivers, as breadwinners, and as health care decision-
makers—are dismissed as peripheral and thus are nowhere to be found in the administration’s policies. Indeed, these rules negatively affect every
facet of women’s lives in the United States, including their ability to control their bodies, demand equal pay, and protect themselves against sexual
violence. The rules are also consistent with President Trump’s own harmful and disrespectful rhetoric about women and women’s rights. Only by
identifying and understanding these dangerous rules can we begin to dismantle and mitigate their harms.
Threatening private abortion coverage
The Trump administration finalized a rule in December 2019 that threatens abortion coverage both on and off the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces.
The rule would force health insurers that offer coverage on the ACA marketplaces to bill consumers separately for the part of insurance premiums that
covers abortion services—as little as $1. This change is likely to result in consumer confusion and additional administrative costs for insurers and
states, which could eventually lead to the elimination of abortion coverage from health plans. This rule puts 3.4 million people currently enrolled in ACA
marketplace plans that cover abortion at risk of losing their abortion coverage. Furthermore, people enrolled in private insurance plans outside of the
marketplace could lose their abortion coverage, as insurers who offer plans both on and off the marketplace usually align both sets of plans. While a
federal court temporarily halted the implementation of the rule, the threat is far from over.
The administration claims that insurers, states, state exchanges, and the federal government will face $546 million in additional billing and payment
policy costs in the first year following the rule’s implementation. This cost, however, does not account for consumers’ confusion over their second bill,
which they may miss entirely or choose not to pay out of confusion. Rule estimates also do not fully account for the cost of printing extra bills; the hiring
of additional staff to handle consumer inquiries and address payment and billing concerns; and the creation of new administrative processes to handle
the new billing procedures. Some insurers estimate these added costs to be up to $10.8 million annually per issuer, compared with the administration’s
estimate of up to about $1 million annually per issuer. Over time, insurers will be forced to either absorb these additional costs or, alternatively,
eliminate abortion coverage from their plans due to the unsustainability of such coverage.
Additionally, the rule does not account for the cost to pregnant people who are denied abortion care. If insurers drop abortion coverage, then pregnant
people may have to decide between continuing unwanted pregnancies or enduring severe financial stress to themselves and their families in order to
obtain abortion care—which can cost them $1,650 or more out of pocket.
Undermining the ACA’s birth control benefit
The ACA requires most health plans to cover a range of preventive services, including contraceptives, with no out-of-pocket costs. The birth control
benefit has been a particular boon for women: 61.4 million women have coverage of contraceptives without out-of-pocket costs due to the ACA and
have saved $1.4 billion annually on oral contraceptives alone.
However, the Trump administration has been relentless in its efforts to undermine this particular ACA provision. In November 2018, the U.S. Department
of Health and Human Services (HHS) finalized rules that expanded religious and moral exemptions for employers, universities, and insurers that are
opposed to providing contraceptive coverage. Various district courts quickly halted the rules, and the legal fight eventually landed in front of the U.S.
Supreme Court, which in July 2020 decided that the rules can remain in effect. While the Trump administration attempts to use religion as cover for its
policy, all major religious groups in the United States support employer-provided health care coverage that includes contraception at no cost. The Trump
administration’s use of religion as a tool to discriminate has also been part of a larger strategy to prioritize the religious liberty of a select few at the
expense of others. For example, in 2019, the administration also finalized a broad religious exemption that expands providers’ and other health care
workers’ ability to deny health care services—including health services for transgender people and abortion care—based on religious or moral
objections. A federal district court has preliminarily enjoined this refusal of care rule.
The administration claims that its birth control rules will cumulatively cost women just around $67.3 million, but it uses flawed assumptions and unclear
calculations to arrive at this figure. Remarkably, the administration claims that just 15 women—out of the 61.4 million women who currently have
contraceptive coverage without out-of-pocket costs—will bear out-of-pocket costs due to expanded moral exemptions. The administration also claims
that only 6 percent of women with contraceptive coverage did not have this coverage prior to the ACA and are at risk of losing it once the rules go into
effect. At the same time, the administration admits that it is unsure whether an additional 31 percent of women also lacked this coverage pre-ACA and
would be similarly affected. If the administration had taken the upper bound of women possibly without access to contraceptives pre-ACA, the rules’
final costs would have been much greater—and still would not encompass the rules’ other significant methodological issues or flawed assumptions
that, if corrected, would yield even greater costs to women. Illustratively, between 2012 and 2014—with the birth control benefit going into effect in
August 2012—the number of privately insured women who paid out of pocket for oral contraceptives dropped from 85 percent to 33 percent. The Trump
administration also limits the number of entities it counts in its estimate that may claim religious or moral exemptions to those that have already filed
religious accommodation claims in the past or are involved in litigation. This does not account for the number of entities that newly qualify and may seek
to take advantage of the exemptions.
Eroding equal pay by halting pay data collection on the EEO-1 form
In August 2017, the Trump administration directed the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) to halt the implementation of the pay data
collection rule, citing unfounded concerns about burden and utility. The Trump action was challenged in federal court and found to be arbitrary and
improper, and the EEOC was directed to complete the pay data collection for 2017 and 2018. But the EEOC remained undeterred in its effort to derail the
pay data rule, announcing in September 2019 that it had decided to discontinue pay data collection for future years. Despite the lack of a sufficient
rationale to justify weakening a key enforcement tool, this rollback was approved by the Office of Management and Budget in June 2020. The rule, first
revised in September 2016 by the Obama administration, required employers with 100 or more employees—more than 73,000 employers, representing
56.1 million workers in 2018—to submit pay data to the EEOC via a form called the Employer Information Report, or EEO-1 form. Access to pay data—
disaggregated by factors such as sex, race, and ethnicity—is a vital tool to help identify where pay disparities are occurring and isolate factors that
could be fueling such disparities, including discrimination. These data can help enforcement agencies pinpoint problems and trends and can even help
employers themselves uncover and rectify workplace pay inequality.
Before 2016, employers were already required to file the EEO-1 form annually to provide workforce demographic data broken down by race, gender, and
ethnicity across 10 occupational categories. The Obama administration rule added a new component, requiring employers to provide pay data
breakdowns across the same demographic and occupational categories. This revision to the EEO-1 form aimed to provide enforcement officials with
much-needed pay information to strengthen investigations and help combat pay discrimination, while balancing employer concerns about maintaining
confidentiality and minimizing burden.
The Trump administration’s move to eliminate pay data collection—and undermine efforts to combat pay discrimination in the process—ignores the
economic burden of persistent pay disparities experienced by working women, and particularly women of color, who experience the largest pay gaps.
Compared with a white man working full time in 2017 and 2018, a Black woman earned almost $35,000 less; a Latina earned almost $40,000 less; a
white woman earned nearly $19,000 less; and an Asian woman earned nearly $7,000 less. Collectively, women working full time earned more than $1
trillion less than their male counterparts during that same two-year period. These disparities call for increased enforcement—rather than weakening
areas of progress—to secure equal pay for women.
Weakening Title IX and putting students at greater risk of sexual harassment and assault
In May 2020, the U.S. Department of Education finalized a rule that dramatically changes the way Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972—the
watershed civil rights law that prohibits sex discrimination in federally funded education programs and activities—is enforced and implemented. It does
so by, among other things, narrowing the definition of sexual harassment and allowing educational institutions to require a greater burden of proof when
The Trump administration claims that the rule will result in a net cost of only $48.6 million to $62.2 million over 10 years due to a reduction in the number
of Title IX investigations, among other things. However, considering the rule’s extensive changes to Title IX, the administration’s projections
underestimate the true scope and magnitude of the rule’s costs. Specifically, the rule will result in increased costs to survivors, whose safety, health,
and education will be threatened in an increasingly hostile educational environment, and to schools, which will shoulder greater technological, record-
keeping, staff, and supportive-measure costs. The rule also does not account for the downstream social and economic effects of the rule such as long-
term physical and emotional effects on survivors, reduced job earnings, and lost productivity.
To arrive at its relatively low net cost estimates, the Trump administration claims its rule will lead to a reduction in the number of Title IX investigations
and will therefore yield large cost savings. To calculate this reduction in investigations, however, the administration relies almost exclusively on
inherently flawed data sets—such as the Clery Act and the Civil Rights Data Collection—which severely undercount the prevalence of sexual assault in
schools due to schools’ underreporting. The administration also claims its rule will not lead to an increase in the underlying rate of sexual harassment;
however, the rule will raise reporting and investigation thresholds, alter grievance procedures, and ultimately lead to a reduction in the rate of Title IX
investigations, making it less likely that survivors will pursue formal investigations. If fewer incidents of sexual harassment are investigated, the
likelihood that this harassment will be detected and punished will also be reduced, thereby weakening the system’s general deterrent effect and
increasing the underlying rate of sexual harassment.
In addition, the rule encourages schools to offer extensive supportive measures, in the form of counseling, campus security escorts, and other school
accommodations, in lieu of pursuing formal investigations. It does not, however, provide adequate funding for schools to offer such services. Likewise,
the rule requires harmful live hearings, during which survivors and accused students can be cross-examined through a third party, but does not offer
the requisite funding to schools to purchase equipment and software to conduct these hearings.
Numerous studies have outlined the incredibly high cost of sexual violence. For example, one study has placed the marginal lifetime costs of rape at
$122,461 per survivor and $3.1 trillion for all survivors. Women experiencing ongoing abuse also have annual health expenditures that are 42 percent
higher than those of women who have never been abused and have lost a total of $110 billion in short-term productivity. It is also important that these
costs are couched in an understanding that some effects of sexual assault cannot be quantified but are no less harmful.
Dismantling the nation’s Title X family planning network
The Trump administration finalized regulations in March 2019 that have undermined the integrity of Title X, the United States’ only family planning
program that provides critical health care—including birth control services, wellness exams, and breast and cervical cancer screenings. This rule—
known as the domestic gag rule—prohibits providers that receive Title X funding from referring patients for abortion services or providing information or
counseling related to abortion. It also requires the physical separation between abortion services and other health services. Since the rule’s
implementation, dozens of Title X grantees have left the program’s network, and more than 1.6 million women have been unable to access vital family
The Trump administration once again underestimates the magnitude of the rule’s effect on women’s health. The HHS claims that the rule will cost $69.2
million in 2019 and $14.8 million in each subsequent year, based on calculations regarding training, documentation, and physical separation costs.
For example, the rule’s physical separation requirement seeks to force Title X providers to construct separate facilities for non-Title X abortion-related
activities, which the rule estimates will cost between $20,000 and $40,000 per clinic in the first year. However, this estimate is completely unrealistic—
the costs of either reconfiguring an existing health care facility or locating and opening a new facility, securing the appropriate staff, and purchasing
separate workstations and equipment, among other things, would far exceed this suggested cost range. In addition, the administration underestimates
the cost of its new documentation requirements, as Title X providers are now responsible for creating new electronic health record systems and
purchasing additional server capacity to capture and store provider and patient information.
The rule also does not consider the consequences of patients not having access to affordable, high-quality providers. When patients do not receive
timely family planning care, the public health outcomes and related costs are significant. Indeed, investments in family planning help to prevent
unplanned pregnancies, sexually transmitted infections, cervical and breast cancer, and other critical health outcomes. Every public dollar spent on
family planning services results in taxpayer savings of $7.09.
Eliminating key nondiscrimination protections in health care
In June 2020, the Trump administration issued its final rule regarding Section 1557 of the ACA, a critical civil rights provision that prohibits
discrimination on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, age, and disability status in health programs and activities. During the Obama
administration, this provision was interpreted to protect against, among other things, discrimination based on gender identity, sex stereotyping, and
pregnancy status, including the termination of pregnancy. The Trump administration has sought to remove these specific protections to the detriment of
LGBTQ individuals and people seeking abortion services.
Surprisingly, the administration claims that these large-scale changes across the health care system will result in only $585 million per year over the
first five years—primarily stemming from the revision of policies and procedures as well as retraining of employees—but fails to consider the
consumers who will be disproportionately affected. The rule also claims that removing these protections will result in cost savings for covered entities
because patients who have experienced discrimination will no longer have recourse to file grievances. However, the administration does not
adequately consider the physical, mental, and direct monetary costs the rule will have on LGBTQ people and those who have had or will have an
abortion. The literature clearly shows the effect that legalized discrimination in health care poses to people’s health such as avoiding or postponing
health services as well as experiencing negative health outcomes. The administration has admitted that it does not have the data to fully assess the
current benefits consumers accrue from existing protections and cannot quantify the number of people who would no longer receive those protections
as a result of this rule. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is in the midst of finalizing another rule, which would eliminate explicit nondiscrimination
protections for sex, sexual orientation, and gender identity in HHS grants—something that Section 1557 would have prevented—and thereby put access
to critical services at risk.
Limiting an increase in the overtime threshold
The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) under the Trump administration finalized a rule in September 2019 that marginally raised the overtime threshold to
$679 per week—or an annual salary of $35,308 for a person working a full year—after rolling back a higher threshold of $47,476 per year set by a 2016
Obama administration rule. The Trump rule leaves behind an estimated 4.2 million women who would have received new or strengthened protections
under the 2016 rule. This loss of overtime protections and earnings is particularly devastating for the 64.2 percent of mothers overall, especially 84.4
percent of Black mothers, who are the primary or co-breadwinners in their families.
The overtime rule sets the new salary threshold that determines which white-collar employees or those who perform executive, administrative, or
professional duties are covered by overtime protections. Under the Fair Labor Standards Act, white-collar employees who earn less than the salary
threshold are eligible for overtime pay—at a rate of 1.5 times their regular rate of pay—when they work more than 40 hours a week. The DOL under the
Obama administration worked to significantly expand and modernize the previous overtime threshold, set in 2004 at $23,660 per year, by issuing a final
rule in May 2016 which would have raised the overtime salary threshold to $51,053 per year for full-year workers by 2020. This would have covered
millions more people, and the threshold would have been automatically updated every three years. Unfortunately, however, the Trump administration
worked to block this 2016 rule, and the rule never took effect after a lawsuit from business groups and states led a federal court to strike it down in
The new rule from the DOL under the Trump administration sets a dramatically lower threshold of $35,308 and fails to include automatic updates for
inflation. And, while the Trump administration touts the rule as part of its deregulatory agenda—claiming that it will result in annualized cost savings of
$534.8 million compared with the 2016 rule—this callously ignores the lost overtime wages of more than 8 million workers, including 4.2 million
women, who are not eligible under the Trump rule. An analysis from the Economic Policy Institute estimates that workers will lose between $1.2 billion
and $1.6 billion, in inflation-adjusted terms, each year, or $12.6 billion total, during the first 10 years of the Trump administration rule, compared with
wages employees would have received under the 2016 rule.
Each of these rules comes with a price tag for women—on top of other unquantifiable and harmful costs to women’s lives. Worst yet, this list of
regulations is not even exhaustive. The Trump administration has taken numerous actions that harm women in the workplace and roll back their rights,
including its rescission of the Fair Pay and Safe Workplaces executive order, which would have ensured that federal contractors do not violate
workers’ rights and labor laws, and its tipped wage proposal, which allowed employers to pocket their workers’ tips. Even during the pandemic, the
Trump administration has worked to undermine working women with caregiving responsibilities through its regulations for emergency paid leave laws.
The DOL broadly interpreted the exemption of health care providers from emergency paid leave, leading to the exclusion of thousands of front-line
workers and narrowly limited uses for child care leave for working parents of school-aged children.
This is on top of the administration’s attempts to take away access to health care through the issuance of junk plans, which provide woefully inadequate
coverage and do not cover preexisting conditions; work requirements, which require beneficiaries to participate in certain activities, including
employment, for a specified number of hours per month in order to receive Medicaid benefits; and public charge regulations, which deny visas or green
cards to certain immigrants who may qualify for public assistance. While these rules are seemingly gender neutral, women will be among those most
affected. The administration has supported efforts to eliminate abortion care, which is essential health care, as well as any references to sexual and
reproductive health out of its response plan to the pandemic in the United States and abroad.
This administration and its misguided actions have taken women’s progress backward. Identifying and undoing these harmful rules must be a top
priority in a progressive policy agenda in order to preserve women’s health, rights, and economic security.
Osub Ahmed is a senior policy analyst for women’s health and rights at the Center for American Progress. Shilpa Phadke is the vice president of the
Women’s Initiative at the Center. Diana Boesch is a policy analyst for women’s economic security at the Center.
The authors would like to thank Jocelyn Frye, Jamille Fields Allsbrook, Robin Bleiweis, Sam Berger, Maura Calsyn, Nicole Svajlenka, Guthrie Graves-
Fitzsimmons, and Sharita Gruberg for their assistance with this issue brief.